Helena, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

570
FXUS64 KBMX 071701
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1201 PM CDT Mon Jul 7 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 1200 PM CDT MON JUL 7 2025

A trough will be in place across central Alabama, more in line
with the typical inverted trough over the region. With this
position we will see more southerly flow, thus an increase to
isolated to scattered afternoon, heat of the day activity.
Remember though even with the increase in rain chances, it is
summer, and we will be in the hit or miss environment. Highs will
be in the low to mid 90s with lows in the low to middle 70s.

On Tuesday the center of the high pressure will be over the
western Carolinas giving us more of an easterly/southeasterly
flow. At the same time a front will begin to approach for the
northwest, but should still remain well north of the area. Between
the trough and Any organized activity to our north should remain
north of the area.

While elevated into the upper 90s and low 100s, heat indices
overall should remain below the 105 criteria for a heat advsiory
through Tuesday. An isolated area may see a brief moment of 105
but should not last more than 1 hour.

16

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 1200 PM CDT MON JUL 7 2025

Same scenario on Wednesday with the best chances in the north as
the front barely moves any. At this time it appears to mainly be
diurnally driven activity and still generally a hit and miss
coverage, just high probabilities. The better rain chances appear
still to be Thursday and Friday as an upper level shortwave is
forecast to move across the Southeast in an increasingly active
northwest upper flow regime. A second wave is forecast for
Saturday as well.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1200 PM CDT MON JUL 7 2025

VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period. Only
isolated SHRA/TSRA development is expected across central
Alabama and will not be mentioned in the TAFs for the north. Did
go ahead and add in VCTS from 21z to 00z at MGM for scattered
thunderstorms. Scattered to broken cumulus this afternoon will
lead to fair skies overnight with light and variable winds.

NOTE: AMD LTD TO CLD VIS AND WIND has been added at MGM until
further notice due to comms issues.

16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Isolated to scattered afternoon thunderstorms can be expected
through Tuesday, with rain chances increasing even more through
the remainder of the week. RH levels will remain well above
critical thresholds, with generally light winds. There are no fire
weather concerns at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     71  94  71  91 /  20  40  20  60
Anniston    72  92  72  90 /  20  40  20  60
Birmingham  73  93  72  91 /  20  40  20  60
Tuscaloosa  74  93  73  91 /  20  40  20  60
Calera      73  92  72  90 /  20  40  20  60
Auburn      73  92  73  90 /  20  30  20  50
Montgomery  73  94  73  93 /  20  30  20  50
Troy        72  92  72  92 /  20  40  20  50

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...16